Saturday 2 December 2017, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
69%
20%
11%
Home win
69.4%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 10.6% | 9.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 15.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Real Sociedad | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
9.5
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
9.4
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.4
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Atletico Madrid
4-0
Real Sociedad
Oct 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2023
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.