Sunday 22 October 2017, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
18%
24%
59%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
58.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Atletico Madrid | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
10.8
|
10.7
|
6.6
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
11.2
|
9.9
|
6.1
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
4.9
|
4.6
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Feb 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oct 2023
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.