Saturday 30 September 2017, 21:45
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
16%
29%
55%
Home win
15.9%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
54.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 15.9% | 6.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.4% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Leganes / Atletico Madrid | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
18.0
|
12.9
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
12.2
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
3.6
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Leganes
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Leganes
Jan 2020
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Leganes
Aug 2019
Leganes
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2019
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Leganes
Nov 2018
Leganes
1-1
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.