Saturday 9 September 2017, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
20%
25%
56%
Home win
19.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
55.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.5% | 7.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Valencia / Atletico Madrid | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
11.2
|
10.4
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
11.9
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.3
|
4.6
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
0-3
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Sep 2023
Valencia
3-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.