Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:45
Vicente Calderón
Full time
57%
28%
15%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
15.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 15.3% | 6.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.9% | 5.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Athletic Club | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.9
|
12.0
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
8.5
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Athletic Club
Dec 2023
Athletic Club
2-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.