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Sunday 7 May 2017, 13:00 Estadio de Mendizorroza Full time
31% 33% 36%
Home win
31.1%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
35.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves 31.1% 3.22
Draw 33.0% 3.03
Athletic Club 35.9% 2.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.57
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.6% 3.26
Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.2% 7.59
Under 3.5 86.8% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.21
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.2% 2.55
No 60.8% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves / Draw 64.1% 1.56
Alaves / Athletic Club 67.0% 1.49
Draw / Athletic Club 68.9% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
13.8
7.4
2.5
0.6
0.1
1
12.5
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
6.1
6.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.9
1.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Alaves goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.