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Saturday 8 April 2017, 14:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
48% 30% 22%
Home win
48.2%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 48.2% 2.08
Draw 29.5% 3.39
Alaves 22.3% 4.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.29
Over 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Under 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.7% 5.66
Under 3.5 82.3% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.21
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.6% 2.35
No 57.4% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Espanyol / Alaves 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Alaves 51.8% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
8.6
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.5
13.4
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.3
8.5
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.6
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.