Saturday 18 March 2017, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
33.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Alaves / Real Sociedad | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
9.8
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
13.9
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.1
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Sociedad
3-3
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Apr 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Aug 2024
Real Sociedad
1-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Alaves
0-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.