Sunday 19 February 2017, 13:00
Anoeta
Full time
32%
31%
36%
Home win
32.0%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
36.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 32.0% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Villarreal | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
12.5
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
14.3
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
6.8
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Villarreal
3-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
2-3
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
2-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Real Sociedad
1-0
Villarreal
Feb 2024
Real Sociedad
1-3
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
0-3
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.