Sunday 29 January 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
69%
18%
13%
Home win
68.9%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
13.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 30.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Real Sociedad | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Real Madrid
4-1
Real Sociedad
Sep 2025
Real Sociedad
1-2
Real Madrid
May 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Real Sociedad
Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
0-2
Real Madrid
Apr 2024
Real Sociedad
0-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.