Sunday 22 January 2017, 19:30
Anoeta
Full time
57%
21%
23%
Home win
56.5%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Celta Vigo | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
3.1
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
8.7
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
9.2
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
6.9
|
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.9
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
3-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Sociedad
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2024
Celta Vigo
2-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Sociedad
Aug 2023
Real Sociedad
1-1
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.