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Sunday 4 December 2016, 13:00 Benito Villamarín Full time
35% 25% 40%
Home win
34.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
40.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 34.5% 2.90
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Celta Vigo 40.3% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.13
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.54
Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 3.5 37.2% 2.69
Under 3.5 62.8% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.9% 5.02
Under 4.5 80.1% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.4% 1.60
No 37.6% 2.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 59.7% 1.68
Real Betis / Celta Vigo 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Celta Vigo 65.5% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
6.7
5.9
3.2
1.3
0.4
1
6.1
11.5
8.7
4.7
1.9
0.6
2
5.0
8.0
6.4
3.5
1.4
0.4
3
2.5
3.9
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
4
0.9
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.