Sunday 6 November 2016, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
56%
20%
24%
Home win
55.6%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
24.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Valencia | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.6% | 10.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| No | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Valencia | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.7
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
7.8
|
5.7
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.7
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
6.8
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.