Sunday 16 October 2016, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
44%
33%
23%
Home win
44.0%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
23.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.1% | 8.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.2% | 23.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Celta Vigo | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.1
|
10.6
|
4.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.7
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Celta Vigo
3-0
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
4-3
Celta Vigo
May 2024
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.