Skip to content
Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:00 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
6% 8% 87%
Home win
5.7%
Draw
7.7%
Away win
86.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 5.7% 17.60
Draw 7.7% 13.06
Sporting Gijon 86.7% 1.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.6% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.4% 266.67
Over 1.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 1.5 1.8% 56.12
Over 2.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 2.5 6.6% 15.04
Over 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 3.5 16.0% 6.23
Over 4.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 4.5 29.9% 3.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 74.2% 1.35
No 25.8% 3.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 13.3% 7.50
Celta Vigo / Sporting Gijon 92.3% 1.08
Draw / Sporting Gijon 94.3% 1.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.4
1.1
2.8
4.2
4.8
4.3
1
0.3
1.8
3.9
5.8
6.6
6.0
2
0.3
1.2
2.7
4.0
4.6
4.1
3
0.1
0.5
1.2
1.9
2.1
1.9
4
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.7
0.7
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.