Sunday 28 August 2016, 19:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
96%
2%
1%
Home win
96.1%
Draw
2.4%
Away win
1.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 2.4% | 42.25 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.5% | 67.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.0% | 2,777.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.2% | 510.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.0% | 99.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 3.3% | 30.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| No | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 98.5% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Alaves / Sporting Gijon | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Draw / Sporting Gijon | 3.9% | 25.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
3.4
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.