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Sunday 5 February 2017, 17:15 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
30% 33% 37%
Home win
30.1%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
37.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 30.1% 3.33
Draw 32.7% 3.06
Alaves 37.3% 2.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.8% 6.74
Over 1.5 59.2% 1.69
Under 1.5 40.8% 2.45
Over 2.5 31.4% 3.19
Under 2.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.7% 7.32
Under 3.5 86.3% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 20.19
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.8% 2.51
No 60.2% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 62.7% 1.59
Sporting Gijon / Alaves 67.3% 1.49
Draw / Alaves 69.9% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.8
13.9
7.7
2.7
0.7
0.2
1
12.0
14.3
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
5.9
6.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.8
1.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Alaves goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.