Saturday 21 January 2017, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
49%
34%
17%
Home win
49.4%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Leganes | 16.7% | 5.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.5% | 11.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.6% | 38.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| No | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Alaves / Leganes | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
20.0
|
9.5
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.9
|
12.1
|
3.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
6.3
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leganes
3-3
Alaves
Nov 2024
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Feb 2020
Leganes
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2019
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Apr 2019
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Nov 2018
Leganes
1-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.