Sunday 8 January 2017, 13:00
San Mamés
Full time
44%
33%
24%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Alaves | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.0% | 6.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.3% | 8.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 23.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Alaves | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.0
|
10.7
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
13.7
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
2-4
Athletic Club
Sep 2025
Athletic Club
0-1
Alaves
May 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Alaves
Dec 2024
Alaves
1-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.