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Sunday 11 December 2016, 21:45 Benito Villamarín Full time
28% 27% 45%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
44.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 28.5% 3.51
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Athletic Club 44.7% 2.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.45
Over 1.5 75.9% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.1% 4.15
Over 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.49
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.28
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.8% 1.82
No 45.2% 2.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 55.3% 1.81
Real Betis / Athletic Club 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Athletic Club 71.5% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
9.5
7.8
4.0
1.5
0.5
1
7.2
12.8
9.2
4.7
1.8
0.5
2
4.6
7.1
5.4
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
1.8
2.8
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.