Sunday 4 December 2016, 17:15
San Mamés
Full time
39%
29%
32%
Home win
39.2%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
31.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Eibar | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Eibar | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
9.5
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.8
|
7.2
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.3
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Athletic Club
1-1
Eibar
Sep 2020
Eibar
1-2
Athletic Club
Jun 2020
Eibar
2-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2019
Athletic Club
0-0
Eibar
Feb 2019
Athletic Club
1-0
Eibar
Oct 2018
Eibar
1-1
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.