Sunday 23 October 2016, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
66%
19%
15%
Home win
65.7%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
15.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Athletic Club | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
3.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
8.8
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.7
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
7.6
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Madrid
4-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
2-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2023
Athletic Club
0-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.