Sunday 2 October 2016, 19:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
22%
30%
47%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
47.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Malaga / Athletic Club | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
15.1
|
10.3
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
13.5
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
5.1
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Athletic Club
2-1
Malaga
Sep 2017
Malaga
3-3
Athletic Club
Mar 2017
Athletic Club
1-0
Malaga
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.