Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:45
Gran Canaria
Full time
59%
17%
24%
Home win
59.2%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
24.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Malaga | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.7% | 145.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.9% | 34.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 10.0% | 9.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| No | 15.3% | 6.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Malaga | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
1.4
|
3.5
|
3.5
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
5.3
|
5.6
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
5.6
|
6.0
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
4.5
|
4.8
|
3.4
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
2.9
|
3.1
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.