Monday 20 February 2017, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
43%
26%
31%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
31.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Malaga / Las Palmas | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
6.9
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.4
|
7.5
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
9.0
|
5.8
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.7
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.8
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.