Monday 30 January 2017, 21:45
Gran Canaria
Full time
49%
23%
28%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Valencia | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.3% | 7.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Valencia | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
4.1
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
5.6
|
9.7
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
9.1
|
6.8
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
6.0
|
4.5
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
3.0
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Las Palmas
2-3
Valencia
Oct 2024
Valencia
2-3
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Aug 2023
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2018
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Aug 2017
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.