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Saturday 10 December 2016, 17:15 Anoeta Full time
64% 19% 16%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 64.1% 1.56
Draw 19.4% 5.16
Valencia 16.5% 6.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.6% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.4% 29.37
Over 1.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.8% 7.83
Over 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 2.5 31.5% 3.18
Over 3.5 47.0% 2.13
Under 3.5 53.0% 1.89
Over 4.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 4.5 71.9% 1.39

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.6% 1.60
No 37.4% 2.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 83.5% 1.20
Real Sociedad / Valencia 80.6% 1.24
Draw / Valencia 35.9% 2.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.4
2.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
6.5
8.5
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
8.3
9.5
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.6
7.6
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
3.9
4.5
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
1.9
2.1
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.