Skip to content
Friday 28 October 2016, 21:45 Municipal de Butarque Full time
25% 25% 50%
Home win
24.8%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
50.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 24.8% 4.04
Draw 25.0% 3.99
Real Sociedad 50.2% 1.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.06
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.0% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 3.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 6.00
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.1% 1.75
No 42.9% 2.33

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 49.8% 2.01
Leganes / Real Sociedad 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Real Sociedad 75.2% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
9.0
8.3
4.8
2.1
0.7
1
5.8
11.8
9.7
5.6
2.4
0.8
2
3.7
6.4
5.6
3.2
1.4
0.5
3
1.4
2.5
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.4
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.