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Saturday 15 October 2016, 14:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
2–3
HT 0–1
36% 26% 39%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
38.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 35.7% 2.80
Draw 25.5% 3.92
Sevilla 38.8% 2.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.10
Over 1.5 81.1% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.9% 5.29
Over 2.5 58.2% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.8% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 3.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.30
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.4% 1.63
No 38.6% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 61.2% 1.63
Leganes / Sevilla 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Sevilla 64.3% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
6.9
5.8
3.0
1.2
0.4
1
6.5
11.8
8.6
4.4
1.7
0.5
2
5.3
8.2
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.6
4.0
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.