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Saturday 17 September 2016, 14:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
1–5
HT 0–3
13% 10% 77%
Home win
12.8%
Draw
10.1%
Away win
77.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 12.8% 7.83
Draw 10.1% 9.87
Barcelona 77.1% 1.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.1% 869.57
Over 1.5 99.5% 1.01
Under 1.5 0.5% 194.55
Over 2.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 2.5 2.4% 42.19
Over 3.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 3.5 6.8% 14.76
Over 4.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 4.5 14.8% 6.74

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 90.3% 1.11
No 9.7% 10.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 22.9% 4.37
Leganes / Barcelona 89.9% 1.11
Draw / Barcelona 87.2% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.3
0.8
1.3
1.6
1.6
1
0.1
0.8
2.0
3.2
3.9
3.9
2
0.2
1.0
2.3
3.8
4.7
4.6
3
0.2
0.8
1.9
3.1
3.8
3.7
4
0.1
0.5
1.1
1.8
2.3
2.2
5
0.0
0.2
0.5
0.9
1.1
1.1
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.