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Saturday 27 August 2016, 23:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
Leganes
0–0
HT 0–0
Atletico Madrid
77% 12% 11%
Home win
77.3%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
10.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 77.3% 1.29 — —
Draw 12.0% 8.37 — —
Atletico Madrid 10.8% 9.27 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.3% 1.01 — —
Under 0.5 0.7% 138.12 — —
Over 1.5 96.8% 1.03 — —
Under 1.5 3.2% 31.33 — —
Over 2.5 89.2% 1.12 — —
Under 2.5 10.8% 9.29 — —
Over 3.5 76.4% 1.31 — —
Under 3.5 23.6% 4.24 — —
Over 4.5 59.6% 1.68 — —
Under 4.5 40.4% 2.48 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 76.1% 1.31 — —
No 23.9% 4.18 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 89.2% 1.12 — —
Leganes / Atletico Madrid 88.0% 1.14 — —
Draw / Atletico Madrid 22.7% 4.40 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
1.8
3.2
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
2
3.7
5.6
4.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
3
4.6
7.0
5.2
2.6
1.0
0.3
4
4.3
6.5
4.9
2.4
0.9
0.3
5
3.2
4.8
3.6
1.8
0.7
0.2
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Leganes
W
Atletico Madrid
D

Head to head

Jan 2025 Leganes 1-0 Atletico Madrid Oct 2024 Atletico Madrid 3-1 Leganes Jan 2020 Atletico Madrid 0-0 Leganes Aug 2019 Leganes 0-1 Atletico Madrid Mar 2019 Atletico Madrid 1-0 Leganes Nov 2018 Leganes 1-1 Atletico Madrid

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.