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Wednesday 26 September 2018, 21:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
10% 18% 72%
Home win
10.0%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
72.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 10.0% 10.02
Draw 17.8% 5.62
Barcelona 72.2% 1.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.41
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.64
Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 3.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 3.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.5% 4.88
Under 4.5 79.5% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 27.8% 3.60
Leganes / Barcelona 82.2% 1.22
Draw / Barcelona 90.0% 1.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
9.9
12.2
9.6
5.6
2.6
1
2.9
8.5
9.4
7.4
4.3
2.0
2
1.3
3.1
3.6
2.8
1.7
0.8
3
0.3
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.