Saturday 18 August 2018, 23:15
Camp Nou
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
79.3%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
6.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.1% | 7.07 | — | — |
| Alaves | 6.5% | 15.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.2% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Alaves | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
6.7
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.8
|
8.5
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.3
|
7.5
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Alaves
Feb 2025
Barcelona
1-0
Alaves
Oct 2024
Alaves
0-3
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Alaves
1-3
Barcelona
Nov 2023
Barcelona
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.