Sunday 6 May 2018, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
64%
18%
18%
Home win
64.2%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
17.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.0% | 11.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| No | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Real Madrid | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
7.1
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.7
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
7.6
|
5.2
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
5.0
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Barcelona
2-0
Real Madrid
Oct 2025
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
May 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Real Madrid
Oct 2024
Real Madrid
0-4
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.