Saturday 14 April 2018, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
79%
13%
7%
Home win
79.2%
Draw
13.4%
Away win
7.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Valencia | 7.4% | 13.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Valencia | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
8.4
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
3-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
6-0
Valencia
Jan 2025
Barcelona
7-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-2
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Barcelona
4-2
Valencia
Dec 2023
Valencia
1-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.