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Sunday 1 April 2018, 17:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
29% 28% 43%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
42.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 28.8% 3.48
Draw 28.3% 3.53
Valencia 42.9% 2.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.87
Over 1.5 71.5% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.5% 3.50
Over 2.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.1% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.23
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.51
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.5% 1.98
No 49.5% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 57.1% 1.75
Leganes / Valencia 71.7% 1.40
Draw / Valencia 71.2% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
10.9
8.1
3.7
1.3
0.4
1
8.4
13.5
8.8
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
5.0
6.9
4.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.8
2.5
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.