Saturday 20 October 2018, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
58%
26%
16%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
15.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Leganes | 15.7% | 6.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.4% | 9.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Valencia / Leganes | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.4
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.0
|
11.9
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
9.1
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-0
Leganes
Oct 2024
Leganes
0-0
Valencia
Jul 2020
Leganes
1-0
Valencia
Sep 2019
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Feb 2019
Leganes
1-1
Valencia
Apr 2018
Leganes
0-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.