Sunday 23 September 2018, 17:15
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
44%
28%
28%
Home win
44.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
28.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Valencia | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Valencia | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
7.8
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
13.2
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.1
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.4
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Oct 2025
Valencia
0-2
Villarreal
Feb 2025
Villarreal
1-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Mar 2024
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.