Sunday 20 May 2018, 13:00
Mestalla
Full time
70%
18%
11%
Home win
70.2%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
11.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 11.3% | 8.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Valencia / Deportivo La Coruna | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
8.7
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.6
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
7.4
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
1-2
Valencia
Apr 2017
Valencia
3-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Oct 2016
Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.