Saturday 5 May 2018, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
46%
27%
27%
Home win
46.3%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
27.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Valencia | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Valencia | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
6.9
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
12.7
|
6.8
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.3
|
5.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
4.9
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Oct 2025
Valencia
0-2
Villarreal
Feb 2025
Villarreal
1-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Mar 2024
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.