Sunday 1 April 2018, 19:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
24%
31%
45%
Home win
23.8%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
44.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| No | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Malaga / Villarreal | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.0
|
15.3
|
9.8
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
13.8
|
7.9
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.3
|
5.2
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.