Saturday 3 March 2018, 14:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
50%
27%
23%
Home win
50.2%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
22.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Girona | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.0% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Girona | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Girona | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
12.8
|
5.9
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Girona
1-0
Villarreal
Aug 2025
Villarreal
5-0
Girona
May 2025
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Dec 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Girona
May 2024
Girona
0-1
Villarreal
Sep 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Girona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.