Saturday 10 February 2018, 14:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
56%
28%
16%
Home win
56.0%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
16.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Alaves | 16.1% | 6.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Alaves | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.7
|
12.2
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.8
|
8.5
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Jan 2026
Villarreal
3-1
Alaves
Mar 2025
Alaves
1-0
Villarreal
Nov 2024
Villarreal
3-0
Alaves
Feb 2024
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Oct 2023
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.