Sunday 14 January 2018, 17:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
32%
30%
39%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
38.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.7% | 11.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Alaves / Sevilla | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
11.3
|
7.4
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
14.0
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.2
|
4.4
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2025
Alaves
1-2
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Sep 2024
Alaves
2-1
Sevilla
Jan 2024
Sevilla
2-3
Alaves
Aug 2023
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.