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Wednesday 20 December 2017, 22:30 Anoeta Full time
40% 25% 35%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
34.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 39.7% 2.52
Draw 25.3% 3.95
Sevilla 34.9% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.60
Over 1.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.5% 5.42
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.9% 1.62
No 38.1% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 65.1% 1.54
Real Sociedad / Sevilla 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Sevilla 60.3% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.3
5.1
2.5
0.9
0.3
1
6.8
11.6
8.1
4.0
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.7
6.4
3.1
1.2
0.3
3
3.1
4.6
3.4
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.2
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.