Saturday 9 December 2017, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
62%
21%
17%
Home win
62.4%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Sevilla | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
3.7
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
9.7
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
7.1
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Sevilla
May 2025
Sevilla
0-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4-2
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Oct 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.