Saturday 25 November 2017, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
6.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.9% | 7.74 | — | — |
| Malaga | 6.5% | 15.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.9% | 8.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Malaga | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
6.0
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
8.2
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.6
|
7.9
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.7
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.