Sunday 5 November 2017, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
88%
8%
4%
Home win
87.7%
Draw
8.1%
Away win
4.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 4.2% | 23.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.1% | 88.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.2% | 19.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Las Palmas | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 12.3% | 8.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
5.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
7.5
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.2
|
7.1
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.2
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Real Madrid
4-1
Las Palmas
Aug 2024
Las Palmas
1-1
Real Madrid
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
1-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2023
Real Madrid
2-0
Las Palmas
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
0-3
Real Madrid
Mar 2017
Real Madrid
3-3
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.