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Monday 16 October 2017, 22:00 Gran Canaria Full time
42% 23% 34%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
34.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 42.0% 2.38
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Celta Vigo 34.5% 2.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.89
Over 1.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.5% 7.41
Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 2.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 3.5 45.4% 2.20
Under 3.5 54.6% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 4.5 73.4% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.0% 1.47
No 32.0% 3.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 65.5% 1.53
Las Palmas / Celta Vigo 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Celta Vigo 58.0% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
4.6
4.2
2.3
0.9
0.3
1
5.2
10.0
7.7
4.2
1.7
0.6
2
5.2
8.5
7.0
3.8
1.6
0.5
3
3.2
5.2
4.2
2.3
0.9
0.3
4
1.4
2.4
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
0.5
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.