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Friday 29 September 2017, 22:00 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
3–3
HT 2–2
48% 28% 24%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
23.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 48.4% 2.07
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Girona 23.9% 4.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.64
Over 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Under 2.5 55.7% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.1% 4.32
Under 3.5 76.9% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.81
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 76.1% 1.31
Celta Vigo / Girona 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Girona 51.6% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
7.6
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
12.1
13.1
6.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.2
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.7
4.5
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.